UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update

Last Updated: February 5, 2021

Key Takeaways

  • Virginia’s average daily cases remains very high. Nevertheless cases continue to decline statewide. 29 of 35 Virginia Health Districts are in declining trajectories, and only one (Loudoun) is in a surge trajectory.
  • Variants of Concern (VoCs) continue to be identified nationally and in Virginia. Four cases of the B.1.1.7 VoC have been identified in Virginia, including 3 in Northern Virginia and 1 in Northwest Virginia.
  • Prevention and mitigation strategies may successfully contain VoCs. However, if coupled with reduced prevention effort, VoCs could lead to high transmission and extend the worst impacts of the pandemic.

Full Weekly Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

RAND Corporation Situation & Research Update.