Key Takeaways
- The UVA model projects what could happen if current conditions continue unchanged. Behavior and policy changes, along with unforeseen events, will effect projections.
- The statewide reproduction rate remains 1.0 while regional results are mixed.
- The national situation continues to deteriorate, including among states bordering Virginia. Except for DC, all bordering states have cases higher than 20/100k residents.
- In Virginia, 25 of 35 local health districts are in growth trajectories, including 8 in surge trajectories.
- National and state trends are concerning as we enter the holiday season, heralding colder weather and increased travel.